2008 AFC Divisional Odds Vegas Watch — I have collected the "To Win Division" odds from Carib, BetUS*, SportsBetting, VIP, and The Greek. To break these down, I figured it'd be useful to have a single metric to look at. The PFP projections are great, but there's no reason to use them exclusively. Since the Vegas over/under lines are nearly as good a predictor of future performance, they should be considered as well. So I threw both PFP and Vegas' predictions into a regression, with the dependent variable being how many games each team ended up winning. Doing so brings us this ... Tourney Props (2009) Vegas Watch — Thought I'd take a break from the 1200 word essays to look at some of the more interesting props I've come across over the last few days. Honestly, if I could find enough content this entire blog would be dedicated... [read full story]
